diff --git a/CHANGELOG.md b/CHANGELOG.md index f7ea805..85d5398 100644 --- a/CHANGELOG.md +++ b/CHANGELOG.md @@ -4,6 +4,9 @@ ### 第七阶段：预测市场与操纵（7.1 预测市场、7.2 操纵检出与高息理财） +- 高息理财改用链上钱包：开张（宣传费 800 CRC）和卷走都是合约调用，用当前钱包签名；产品记下发行钱包，每晚垫付的利息从它出，卷走的池子进它（污点全额），卷走要用发行钱包签名。游戏内验证：主钱包签名开张 6%，三夜后签名卷走 1634，钱包 CRC 1000 → 200 → 1833，污点 1634，卷走手续费 1.13 CRT。 +- 柜台线人接进预测市场：游戏里卖消息的顾客（乞丐、线人，提前 1–4 天说出新闻事件）、传闻纸条、派系特权都会把事件以"已知"排进日程；每天开门补盘时，对每个这样的、开始日在后天及以后的事件保证有一个盘口（窗口就是开始那天），开盘价按公开信息下的基础概率（不看冷却，每天有事件的概率取 35%），不因为已经排期而抬高——当晚价格才向 92% 靠拢，知道的人能赚到中间的差；押「是」算内幕单。游戏内验证：调试排一个 3 天后的已知停电，开盘出现"第 19 天：出现「停电」"，是 0.03，线索"排期：第 19 天开始"。 + - 高息理财（庞氏，Web3 "理财"页签，一个存档一次）：选日息 2 / 4 / 6 / 8 / 10%，付 800 CRC 宣传费（Poinbase 账户）开张。每晚下层新存入 (300 + 15 × 天数) × (日息 / 4%)^1.5 × 声望系数 × 0.6–1.4 的 CRC，池子上限 6000 + 200 × 天数，每晚被取走 3%；利息先用新存入的付，不够从 Poinbase 账户补，补不上挤兑崩盘；每晚被举报概率 = 2% + 0.5 × 日息 + 4% × 池子占上限的比例（封顶 90%），被举报同样崩盘。崩盘或被举报：池子没收，记 FRAUD 1200（单件上限之外，按游戏罪证口径记一条），下层声望清零，报纸报道。随时可"卷走"（点两次确认）：池子进 Poinbase 账户、污点全额，同样记罪证、清零声望。页面显示池子、昨晚存入、今晚利息、自己垫付的利息和"风声"（举报风险的三档提示）。 - 复核（ops `research/ponzisim`，下层声望 50，每格 2000 局）：日息越高越赚得快也越容易爆；开张第 40 天、日息 6%，熬 5 夜卷走平均净赚约 4000（崩盘概率 30%），熬 10 夜约 4800（53%），熬 20 夜约 2400（80%）；日息 10% 熬 5 夜约 6800（41%），熬 20 夜约 900（89%）。每个选择的标准差和均值相当，"什么时候卷走"才是决策。 - 游戏内验证：理财页签按日显示；4% 开张后一晚池子 372（昨晚存入 201、今晚利息 14.88）；点两次卷走后 Poinbase CRC 4200 → 4572，污点 372；另一次 6% 开张过 4 夜被举报，池子 456 被没收，产品关闭，页面显示"每个存档只能开一次"，晨间日志与新闻有记录。没有在游戏里验证：下层声望清零的实际数值（用游戏的 `SetReputation(0)`，没读回来看）、罪证数额的实际入账、付不出利息的挤兑路径（单元测试覆盖）、英文界面。 diff --git a/src/Decentralized.Domain/Ponzi.cs b/src/Decentralized.Domain/Ponzi.cs index bb30d50..bd78236 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized.Domain/Ponzi.cs +++ b/src/Decentralized.Domain/Ponzi.cs @@ -10,7 +10,7 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain } /// - /// 高息理财（庞氏）：玩家定一个日息，下层的人按日息和下层声望往池子里存 CRC。每晚先拿新存入的钱付利息，不够的从 Poinbase 账户的 CRC 补， + /// 高息理财（庞氏）：玩家定一个日息，下层的人按日息和下层声望往池子里存 CRC。每晚先拿新存入的钱付利息，不够的从发行人钱包的 CRC 补， /// 补不上就挤兑崩盘；池子越大、日息越高越容易被举报，被举报同样崩盘。崩盘时池子被没收；玩家也可以随时卷走池子（污点全额）。 /// 每个存档只能开一次。 /// @@ -18,6 +18,8 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain { public bool Open, Done; public double Rate, Pool, OwnPaid, AdCost, Inflow; + /// 发行人的钱包地址：宣传费、垫付的利息从它出，卷走的池子进它。 + public string Wallet; public int OpenDay = -1; public static double Cap(int day) => Tuning.PonziCap0 + Tuning.PonziCapPerDay * day; @@ -31,12 +33,12 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain public bool CanOpen(int day) => !Open && !Done && day >= Tuning.PonziMinDay; - /// 开张：宣传费从账户的 CRC 里扣。 + /// 开张：宣传费从发行人钱包的 CRC 里扣。 public bool Start(Wallet acct, double rate, int day) { if (!CanOpen(day) || acct.Avail(Assets.CRC) + 1e-9 < Tuning.PonziAdCost) return false; acct.Add(Assets.CRC, -Tuning.PonziAdCost); - Open = true; Rate = rate; Pool = 0; OwnPaid = 0; AdCost = Tuning.PonziAdCost; OpenDay = day; + Open = true; Rate = rate; Pool = 0; OwnPaid = 0; AdCost = Tuning.PonziAdCost; OpenDay = day; Wallet = acct.Address; return true; } @@ -68,6 +70,7 @@ namespace Decentralized.Domain } /// 卷走：池子全部进账户，污点全额（骗局所得）。返回卷走的数额。 + /// 卷走：池子全部进发行人钱包，污点全额（骗局所得）。 public double Rug(Wallet acct) { if (!Open) return 0; diff --git a/src/Decentralized/DealerStock.cs b/src/Decentralized/DealerStock.cs index 6c74995..5c6f4e1 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/DealerStock.cs +++ b/src/Decentralized/DealerStock.cs @@ -81,7 +81,7 @@ namespace Decentralized { var d = Session.Data; int day = StoreStation.GetDayCounter(); d.Predict.Markets.Clear(); - var made = new List(); for (int i = 0; i < 4; i++) made.AddRange(d.Predict.Refill(day, d.Rng, PredictGame.Candidates(day))); + PredictGame.Morning(d, day); var made = new List(); for (int i = 0; i < 4; i++) made.AddRange(d.Predict.Refill(day, d.Rng, PredictGame.Candidates(day))); Log.Info($"测试：新开 {made.Count} 个预测盘口（不看解锁日）"); })); ModHelper.AddDebugFunction(ModInfo.Id, ModInfo.Name, "Predict: add era and CRA (test)", () => @@ -92,6 +92,11 @@ namespace Decentralized bk.Markets.Add(PredictMarket.Create(++bk.Seq, PredictKind.Cra, "cra", "CRA", 0, day, day + 1, day + 3, PredictMath.CraWarnProb(d.Stable.CraSubsidy, (Tuning.CraNpcStake + d.Staking.Earning) * d.Stable.CraRate, day, day + 1, day + 3, h))); Log.Info($"测试：矿机时代 {d.Network.EraDay}，CRA 补贴池 {d.Stable.CraSubsidy:0}"); }); + ModHelper.AddDebugFunction(ModInfo.Id, ModInfo.Name, "Informant: queue power shortage in 3 days (test)", () => Log.Guard("线人测试", () => + { + StoreStation.Instance.storeEventManager.QueueFuturEvent(EventListNormal.CreatePowerShortage(), 3, true); + Log.Info("测试：停电 3 天后（已知）"); + })); ModHelper.AddDebugFunction(ModInfo.Id, ModInfo.Name, "Predict: window = tomorrow (test)", () => { foreach (var m in Session.Data.Predict.Markets) { m.FromDay = m.ToDay = StoreStation.GetDayCounter() + 1; } Log.Info("测试：所有盘口窗口改成明天"); }); ModHelper.AddDebugFunction(ModInfo.Id, ModInfo.Name, "Perp fund 0 (test)", () => { Session.Data.Perps.InsuranceFund = 0; Log.Info("测试：保险基金清零"); }); ModHelper.AddDebugFunction(ModInfo.Id, ModInfo.Name, "SPARK x0.3 (test)", () => { var st = Session.Data.Stable; st.Spark *= 0.3; Log.Info($"测试：SPARK 价格 {st.Spark:0.00}"); }); diff --git a/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/en.csv b/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/en.csv index 4189162..8b8c8ba 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/en.csv +++ b/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/en.csv @@ -268,7 +268,7 @@ black.kind.Contraband.3,Contraband (high) black.kind.Tech,High-tech (markup) nightlog.bm.ready,"Black market: {0} arrived; a courier will come by once you open." item.web3guide.name,Web3 Handbook -item.web3guide.desc,"Bank: depositing turns credits into CRC in your Poinbase account; withdrawing turns CRC back into credits and goes through compliance screening, which looks at the Poinbase account's taint. Trading: buys are paid in the quote coin, sells in the traded coin. Mixer: pick a coin, amount and rounds; each round takes a fee and lowers taint, rounds equal days of waiting, and the coins come back to the same address; the more you deposit, the worse the cleaning. Hardware wallets: on-chain coins sit in PLEDGER hardware wallets, each with its own balances and taint; open and connect them on the terminal's Wallets page. The Web3 page's trading, black market and mixer use the connected wallet, and coin-paying customers and mining rewards go into it too. Payments (black market, mixer, Ponero desk, listing fees) start as an invoice on the terminal; type the payee address on the wallet and hold ✓ to sign. The last two characters of an address are a checksum, so a one-character typo is usually caught; once in a while it happens to be valid and the coins go to an address nobody uses. DEX swaps also need a signature on the wallet. RatDigg miners (M1 / M2 / M3) are standalone machines with far more hash than a card and a lower power draw per hash; they need a battery, take modules and use no rig slots. Only the black market's miner dealers sell them, gated by black-market standing (M1 40, M2 60, M3 80), sometimes second-hand. When one burns out, repair it by putting electronic components in its repair slot in order; it comes back 20 health lower. Somewhere between day 50 and day 90 a "miner era" arrives, announced in the paper a few days earlier: the big farms halve their power costs, network hash climbs, GPU miners are diluted and low-end cards barely earn, while miners still do fine. Perps: the Perps tab on Poinbase uses your account CRC as margin, up to 5× on PSC and 3× on SPARK, one position per product, never long and short at once. Fills are worse than the quote (more so for bigger orders, like the spot pool) and opening and closing both cost a fee. Liquidation is checked only overnight against the day's average price: equity under 10% of notional wipes the margin. There is also a nightly funding payment; when the price is above its 7-day average, longs pay shorts. If a liquidation loses more than the margin, the insurance fund covers the gap; when it runs dry (a SPARK collapse can do that) winning positions are auto-deleveraged and give up half their profit; anything beyond that becomes your debt. Debt grows 2% a day, is repaid first from CRC in the account every night, blocks new positions and cash-outs, and after seven days items in your shop are seized to cover it; whatever is still short is written off and the perp account is banned for 30 days. Poinbase is a custodial account and can withdraw straight to the connected wallet; depositing from a wallet means sending to Poinbase's deposit address, which takes only CRC and PSC. More hardware wallets are sold by Dr. Jackson; drag one onto the trading terminal to add it, up to 5. The black market has cheaper ones. A wallet you no longer want can be destroyed on the Wallets page once its coins are moved out. Transfers pay a fee: slow, normal or fast, and gas prices rise and fall over roughly a week; when the network is congested fees rise and slow transactions may be dropped from the mempool. Check the full address before sending. Staking: CRA staked in the Revolution pool earns a daily rate that compounds into the stake; withdrawing means requesting first and waiting four days, with no interest while waiting and no way to take it early. The pool pays from a subsidy fund; when it runs low the rate is cut and word of big holders pulling out may spread. Treat that as a warning: once it collapses CRA is worthless within three days and four days of unlocking is too slow. The balance token SPARK can be minted and burned against CRA at the going price (with a fee); its price swings hard and crashes with the collapse. Staking, minting and burning are contract calls and need a signature on the wallet. Black market: coin only, no CRC, 30% above normal channels, with extra markup on high-tech goods and GPUs; the coin you pay leaves its share of taint with the seller and the goods carry no stolen tag; GPUs may be fake, inspect them yourself. Orders are cheaper than spot but take days and may be intercepted; merchants sell by type at their own price factor, 5+ items get 5% off and 10+ get 10% off, and a bulk merchant appears at random with the lowest prices but six days of waiting; escrow costs 5%, is released on delivery and refunded if the seller runs; advance release takes another 10% off, but a scammer keeps the money and only sellers with 30+ trades accept; the platform itself can rug, be taken over by enforcement, or a seller can be arrested, after which your orders get traced and crime logged; forum rumors can be warnings. An intercepted parcel sometimes turns into enforcement at your door: signing logs the crime on the spot and seizes the goods, refusing only costs the payment. Selling: on the black market's Sell tab, list contraband, high-tech goods and GPUs from storage at 0.6x to 1.8x the reference price. The higher the multiplier, the slower the sale (below 0.9x about a day, 1.0x about two, 1.8x about fourteen), and the likelier and larger the taint on the payout, which also grows with how much you sold in the last 7 days; at most 10 listings at a time, 5% listing fee, repricing a listing costs 2% and the sale speed follows the new multiplier, 8% commission, payout held 3 days before reaching your wallet; a fake card may be spotted and returned, hurting your rating; if the platform rugs, listed goods and unreleased payouts are gone. Anonymous-coin swap (Web3 trade page, needs black-market standing): Ponero is a privacy coin and swapping in wipes the taint on that value; 6% fee each way with a daily limit; coin swapped out of Ponero has no origin and cash-out screening gets stricter. Prediction markets (Web3 Predict page, from game day 8): each market is a yes/no question about things the game itself rolls or schedules: a news event appearing, a faction operation starting, tomorrow's water purity, the PSC price. A market is open until its window starts and settles on the night of the window's last day. Buy Yes or No with CRC from your on-chain wallet (a contract call: sign on the wallet; the position belongs to the signing wallet); the price is the market's implied probability and rises as you buy; each winning share pays 1 credit; 2% fee on each trade; each market has a position limit. Winnings inherit the taint ratio of the stake. Rumor slips and faction perks can tell you ahead of time that something will happen; betting Yes on such a market is an insider bet. A large insider position has a 50% chance of being caught at settlement: only your stake is returned and half the profit goes on record as fraud. If game data is missing for the window (for example you skipped the nightly settlement), the market is void and the stake is refunded. Prices react to news: each night every open market moves halfway toward the fair probability given public information, plus some noise; so whoever reads the paper, a rumor slip or a faction perk first can buy ahead and sell after the move instead of waiting for settlement. The clue list in a market panel shows what you know about it: schedules, cooldowns, the halving day, recent gas values, the CRA subsidy pool level, ASIC-era announcements. Patterns you can work out: faction operations are triggered by hidden power values at thresholds (for example a crackdown needs security >= 20 and black market >= 40, and drops security by 20); gas runs on a seven-day cycle; the price anchor ramps up the week before a halving; scheduled crackdowns and blackouts move the anchor but the market price does not reflect them ahead of time; the faster the subsidy drains (the more is staked) the earlier CRA warns; the PSC price market can be moved by your own big orders. The intel broker (needs enough black-market standing) sells a situation brief (the five power values and what each faction can launch now, in CRT) and three grades of insider tip (only for faction operations and the ASIC era, which are already decided; about 60 / 80 / 95% accurate; priced by market size; one in ten is fake and says the opposite of the truth); betting the tipped side counts as an insider bet. Market size grows with the day and a wrong bet loses the whole stake, so do not put everything on one market. Manipulation checks: your big Poinbase spot orders push the price away from where it would be without you (the push decays nightly with the price reversion; the market clue shows it). Once the push exceeds 2%, if you profit from the price (a PSC price market won in the direction you pushed, or a perp closed at a profit in that direction) you may be caught: the bigger the push the likelier (about 40% at 5%, 70% at 10%, capped at 95%). When caught, the prediction stake and winnings are confiscated entirely, perp profit is seized, half the profit goes on record as fraud, the perp account is frozen for 3 days, and the paper reports the investigation. Short-then-dump is not a sure thing: perp slippage on both sides and the spot round trip often cost more than the short earns. High-yield scheme (Web3 Yield page, from game day 15, one per save): pick a daily rate (2%-10%), pay the marketing cost to launch, and lower-level people deposit CRC by rate and lower-level standing; the higher the rate the faster they come. Each night interest is paid first from new deposits, then from your Poinbase account; if you cannot cover it there is a run and the scheme collapses; 3% of the pool is withdrawn each night, and the bigger the pool and the higher the rate the likelier a report, which also collapses it. On collapse the pool is confiscated. You can rug the pool any time (click twice to confirm): it goes to your Poinbase account fully tainted (launder it before cashing out). Rugging and collapse both put fraud on record and wipe your lower-level standing. The word-on-the-street line hints at the report risk." +item.web3guide.desc,"Bank: depositing turns credits into CRC in your Poinbase account; withdrawing turns CRC back into credits and goes through compliance screening, which looks at the Poinbase account's taint. Trading: buys are paid in the quote coin, sells in the traded coin. Mixer: pick a coin, amount and rounds; each round takes a fee and lowers taint, rounds equal days of waiting, and the coins come back to the same address; the more you deposit, the worse the cleaning. Hardware wallets: on-chain coins sit in PLEDGER hardware wallets, each with its own balances and taint; open and connect them on the terminal's Wallets page. The Web3 page's trading, black market and mixer use the connected wallet, and coin-paying customers and mining rewards go into it too. Payments (black market, mixer, Ponero desk, listing fees) start as an invoice on the terminal; type the payee address on the wallet and hold ✓ to sign. The last two characters of an address are a checksum, so a one-character typo is usually caught; once in a while it happens to be valid and the coins go to an address nobody uses. DEX swaps also need a signature on the wallet. RatDigg miners (M1 / M2 / M3) are standalone machines with far more hash than a card and a lower power draw per hash; they need a battery, take modules and use no rig slots. Only the black market's miner dealers sell them, gated by black-market standing (M1 40, M2 60, M3 80), sometimes second-hand. When one burns out, repair it by putting electronic components in its repair slot in order; it comes back 20 health lower. Somewhere between day 50 and day 90 a "miner era" arrives, announced in the paper a few days earlier: the big farms halve their power costs, network hash climbs, GPU miners are diluted and low-end cards barely earn, while miners still do fine. Perps: the Perps tab on Poinbase uses your account CRC as margin, up to 5× on PSC and 3× on SPARK, one position per product, never long and short at once. Fills are worse than the quote (more so for bigger orders, like the spot pool) and opening and closing both cost a fee. Liquidation is checked only overnight against the day's average price: equity under 10% of notional wipes the margin. There is also a nightly funding payment; when the price is above its 7-day average, longs pay shorts. If a liquidation loses more than the margin, the insurance fund covers the gap; when it runs dry (a SPARK collapse can do that) winning positions are auto-deleveraged and give up half their profit; anything beyond that becomes your debt. Debt grows 2% a day, is repaid first from CRC in the account every night, blocks new positions and cash-outs, and after seven days items in your shop are seized to cover it; whatever is still short is written off and the perp account is banned for 30 days. Poinbase is a custodial account and can withdraw straight to the connected wallet; depositing from a wallet means sending to Poinbase's deposit address, which takes only CRC and PSC. More hardware wallets are sold by Dr. Jackson; drag one onto the trading terminal to add it, up to 5. The black market has cheaper ones. A wallet you no longer want can be destroyed on the Wallets page once its coins are moved out. Transfers pay a fee: slow, normal or fast, and gas prices rise and fall over roughly a week; when the network is congested fees rise and slow transactions may be dropped from the mempool. Check the full address before sending. Staking: CRA staked in the Revolution pool earns a daily rate that compounds into the stake; withdrawing means requesting first and waiting four days, with no interest while waiting and no way to take it early. The pool pays from a subsidy fund; when it runs low the rate is cut and word of big holders pulling out may spread. Treat that as a warning: once it collapses CRA is worthless within three days and four days of unlocking is too slow. The balance token SPARK can be minted and burned against CRA at the going price (with a fee); its price swings hard and crashes with the collapse. Staking, minting and burning are contract calls and need a signature on the wallet. Black market: coin only, no CRC, 30% above normal channels, with extra markup on high-tech goods and GPUs; the coin you pay leaves its share of taint with the seller and the goods carry no stolen tag; GPUs may be fake, inspect them yourself. Orders are cheaper than spot but take days and may be intercepted; merchants sell by type at their own price factor, 5+ items get 5% off and 10+ get 10% off, and a bulk merchant appears at random with the lowest prices but six days of waiting; escrow costs 5%, is released on delivery and refunded if the seller runs; advance release takes another 10% off, but a scammer keeps the money and only sellers with 30+ trades accept; the platform itself can rug, be taken over by enforcement, or a seller can be arrested, after which your orders get traced and crime logged; forum rumors can be warnings. An intercepted parcel sometimes turns into enforcement at your door: signing logs the crime on the spot and seizes the goods, refusing only costs the payment. Selling: on the black market's Sell tab, list contraband, high-tech goods and GPUs from storage at 0.6x to 1.8x the reference price. The higher the multiplier, the slower the sale (below 0.9x about a day, 1.0x about two, 1.8x about fourteen), and the likelier and larger the taint on the payout, which also grows with how much you sold in the last 7 days; at most 10 listings at a time, 5% listing fee, repricing a listing costs 2% and the sale speed follows the new multiplier, 8% commission, payout held 3 days before reaching your wallet; a fake card may be spotted and returned, hurting your rating; if the platform rugs, listed goods and unreleased payouts are gone. Anonymous-coin swap (Web3 trade page, needs black-market standing): Ponero is a privacy coin and swapping in wipes the taint on that value; 6% fee each way with a daily limit; coin swapped out of Ponero has no origin and cash-out screening gets stricter. Prediction markets (Web3 Predict page, from game day 8): each market is a yes/no question about things the game itself rolls or schedules: a news event appearing, a faction operation starting, tomorrow's water purity, the PSC price. A market is open until its window starts and settles on the night of the window's last day. Buy Yes or No with CRC from your on-chain wallet (a contract call: sign on the wallet; the position belongs to the signing wallet); the price is the market's implied probability and rises as you buy; each winning share pays 1 credit; 2% fee on each trade; each market has a position limit. Winnings inherit the taint ratio of the stake. Rumor slips and faction perks can tell you ahead of time that something will happen; betting Yes on such a market is an insider bet. A large insider position has a 50% chance of being caught at settlement: only your stake is returned and half the profit goes on record as fraud. If game data is missing for the window (for example you skipped the nightly settlement), the market is void and the stake is refunded. Prices react to news: each night every open market moves halfway toward the fair probability given public information, plus some noise; so whoever reads the paper, a rumor slip or a faction perk first can buy ahead and sell after the move instead of waiting for settlement. The clue list in a market panel shows what you know about it: schedules, cooldowns, the halving day, recent gas values, the CRA subsidy pool level, ASIC-era announcements. Patterns you can work out: faction operations are triggered by hidden power values at thresholds (for example a crackdown needs security >= 20 and black market >= 40, and drops security by 20); gas runs on a seven-day cycle; the price anchor ramps up the week before a halving; scheduled crackdowns and blackouts move the anchor but the market price does not reflect them ahead of time; the faster the subsidy drains (the more is staked) the earlier CRA warns; the PSC price market can be moved by your own big orders. The intel broker (needs enough black-market standing) sells a situation brief (the five power values and what each faction can launch now, in CRT) and three grades of insider tip (only for faction operations and the ASIC era, which are already decided; about 60 / 80 / 95% accurate; priced by market size; one in ten is fake and says the opposite of the truth); betting the tipped side counts as an insider bet. Market size grows with the day and a wrong bet loses the whole stake, so do not put everything on one market. Manipulation checks: your big Poinbase spot orders push the price away from where it would be without you (the push decays nightly with the price reversion; the market clue shows it). Once the push exceeds 2%, if you profit from the price (a PSC price market won in the direction you pushed, or a perp closed at a profit in that direction) you may be caught: the bigger the push the likelier (about 40% at 5%, 70% at 10%, capped at 95%). When caught, the prediction stake and winnings are confiscated entirely, perp profit is seized, half the profit goes on record as fraud, the perp account is frozen for 3 days, and the paper reports the investigation. Short-then-dump is not a sure thing: perp slippage on both sides and the spot round trip often cost more than the short earns. High-yield scheme (Web3 Yield page, from game day 15, one per save): pick a daily rate (2%-10%), pay the marketing cost to launch (launching and rugging are contract calls signed on the wallet), and lower-level people deposit CRC by rate and lower-level standing; the higher the rate the faster they come. Each night interest is paid first from new deposits, then from the issuer wallet; if you cannot cover it there is a run and the scheme collapses; 3% of the pool is withdrawn each night, and the bigger the pool and the higher the rate the likelier a report, which also collapses it. On collapse the pool is confiscated. You can rug the pool any time (click twice to confirm): it goes to the issuer wallet fully tainted (launder it before cashing out). Rugging and collapse both put fraud on record and wipe your lower-level standing. The word-on-the-street line hints at the report risk." courier.odd1,...Package is here. courier.odd2,"(His hand stays in his pocket.) Sign here." courier.sign,Sign @@ -631,7 +631,7 @@ news.manip.desc,Regulators report that someone moved the price with large spot o perp.manip,Profit {0} on close ruled price manipulation and seized; perp account frozen for {1} days. web3.sub.ponzi,Yield ponzi.h,High-yield scheme -ponzi.acct,Poinbase CRC: {0} +ponzi.acct,Issuer wallet {0}: CRC {1} ponzi.rate,Daily rate {0}% ponzi.pool,Pool {0} / cap {1} ponzi.inflow,New deposits last night {0} @@ -641,20 +641,24 @@ ponzi.wind,Word on the street: {0} ponzi.wind.low,calm ponzi.wind.mid,people are talking ponzi.wind.high,regulators are watching -ponzi.idle,No scheme yet. Pick a daily rate and pay the marketing cost to launch. +ponzi.idle,No scheme yet. Pick a daily rate and pay the marketing cost to launch (launching and rugging are contract calls signed on the wallet). ponzi.done,The scheme is closed; only one per save. ponzi.ops,Actions ponzi.rug,Rug the pool ({0}) ponzi.rug.confirm,Click again to confirm rugging {0} ponzi.rugged,"Took {0}, fully tainted." ponzi.open,Open a scheme -ponzi.ad,Marketing cost {0} CRC from your Poinbase account. +ponzi.ad,Marketing cost {0} CRC from the current wallet; signature required. ponzi.start,Launch ponzi.started,Launched. -ponzi.err,Not enough CRC in Poinbase for the marketing cost. +ponzi.err,Not enough CRC in the wallet for the marketing cost. nightlog.ponzi.collapse,"The scheme could not pay interest; run on the pool, {0} confiscated, fraud on record, lower-level standing wiped." nightlog.ponzi.reported,"The scheme was reported; pool {0} confiscated, fraud on record, lower-level standing wiped." news.ponzi.title,High-yield scheme collapses news.ponzi.desc,A high-yield scheme run in the lower levels was reported; investors mobbed it and regulators froze the funds. news.ponzi.rug.title,Investment scam news.ponzi.rug.desc,The operator of a high-yield scheme has run off with all the funds; lower-level investors lost everything. +ponzi.start.sum,"Open high-yield scheme, daily rate {0}%, marketing {1} CRC" +ponzi.rug.sum,Rug the pool {0} +ponzi.err.wallet,Sign with the issuer wallet. +predict.clue.counter,"Intel: scheduled (counter informant, rumor slip)" diff --git a/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/zh.csv b/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/zh.csv index 87efdd6..7b02eb0 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/zh.csv +++ b/src/Decentralized/ModFiles/Localization/zh.csv @@ -267,7 +267,7 @@ black.kind.Contraband.3,违禁品（高） black.kind.Tech,高科技物品（加价） nightlog.bm.ready,"黑市：{0} 到货，开店后会有快递员上门。" item.web3guide.name,Web3 手册 -item.web3guide.desc,"银行：存入把信用点换成 Poinbase 账户里的 CRC；提取把 CRC 换回信用点，要过合规审查，审查看 Poinbase 账户的污点。交易：买入按计价币的数量支付，卖出按所交易币的数量卖出。混币器：选币种、填数量和轮数，每轮扣手续费并降低污点，轮数即等待天数，到期提回同一个地址；存入越多，清洗越差。硬件钱包：链上的币放在 PLEDGER 硬件钱包里，每个钱包的余额和污点各算各的；在终端的钱包页打开、连接。Web3 页的交易、黑市、混币器用已连接的钱包，用币付款的顾客和挖矿收益也进它。付款（黑市、混币器、Ponero 兑换处、上架费）先在终端开账单，再在钱包里手输收款地址、按住 ✓ 签名；地址末尾两位是校验位，输错一位多半会被拦下，偶尔碰巧合法，币就转进了没人用的地址。DEX 兑换也要在钱包上签名。Poinbase 是托管账户，可以直接提到已连接的钱包；从钱包充值要转到 Poinbase 的充值地址，只收 CRC 和 PSC。更多硬件钱包向杰克逊博士购买，拖到交易终端上添加，最多 5 个；黑市上也有更便宜的。不要的钱包可以在钱包页销毁，要先把币转走。转账要付手续费，分慢、普通、快三档，gas 价格大约一周一个起落；网络拥堵时手续费变贵，慢档可能被挤出内存池。转账前核对完整地址。质押：把 CRA 质押进革命军质押池每天有日息，利息并入本金；取出要先申请，等四天才到账，等待期间没有利息，也不能提前拿。质押池靠补贴池付息，补贴池见底会降息，有时还会传出大户撤出的消息，那是预兆：一旦崩盘，三天内 CRA 就一文不值，四天的解锁期来不及。平衡代币 SPARK 可以和 CRA 按价格互相铸销（收手续费），价格波动很大，崩盘时会跟着暴跌。质押、铸销都是合约调用，要在钱包上签名。RatDigg 矿机（M1 / M2 / M3）是独立的机器，算力比显卡大得多、耗电更省，要放电池才挖，可以放模块，不占矿架槽位；只在黑市的矿机商那里有，要黑市声望（M1 40、M2 60、M3 80），偶尔有二手的。暴毙后要往修理槽里放电子元件按顺序修好，修好健康少 20。第 50 到 90 天之间会有一次"矿机时代"，提前几天上报纸预告，之后大矿场的耗电成本砍半，全网算力涨上去，显卡矿工的收益被摊薄，低档显卡几乎不赚钱，矿机还行。永续合约：Poinbase 的"永续"页，用账户里的 CRC 当保证金，PSC 最高 5 倍、SPARK 最高 3 倍，一个品种只有一个仓位，不能同时多空。成交价比现价差一截（单越大差得越多，和现货池一样），开平仓还收手续费。强平只在夜里按当天均价检查，权益不到名义价值的 10% 就被强平，保证金没了；每晚还有资金费，价格比近 7 天均价高时多头付给空头。强平后亏光保证金还不够的缺口，先由保险基金垫，基金见底（SPARK 崩盘这类大行情会抽干它）后盈利的仓位会被自动减仓、少拿一半盈利，再不够就记成你的欠款：欠款每天涨 2%，账户里的 CRC 每晚先拿去还，没还清不能开仓、不能出金，七天不还就没收店里的物品抵债，抵不够的核销并拉黑永续账户 30 天。黑市：只收币，不收 CRC，价格比正常渠道贵 30%，高科技物品和显卡另有加价；付出去的币带着按比例的污点留在卖家那边，货不带赃物标签；显卡不保证真假，自己鉴定。订单比现货便宜，要等几天，路上可能被截获；商家按类型卖货，价格系数各不相同，一次订 5 件以上 95 折、10 件以上 9 折，大宗商家随机出现，价格最低但要等六天；托管多付 5% 托管费，收货后放款，卖家跑路时退款；提前放款再打九折，卖家若是骗子钱就没了，只有成交 30 单以上的卖家接受；平台自己也可能跑路，也可能被执法接管，或者卖家落网，之后你的订单会被追查、记罪证；论坛上的传闻可以当预兆。被截获的包裹有时会变成执法人员上门：签收当场记罪证并查封，拒签只损失货款。出售：在黑市的卖货页把储藏区里的违禁品、高科技物品和显卡上架，标价是参考价的 0.6 到 1.8 倍。倍率越高成交越慢（0.9 以下约一天，1.0 约两天，1.8 约十四天），货款带污点的可能性和比例也越高，近 7 天出售的量越大，污点越重；同时最多上架 10 件，上架收 5% 上架费，上架后可以改价（收 2% 改价费，标价按参考价重算，成交的快慢跟着新倍率走），成交扣 8% 抽成，货款托管 3 天后进钱包；卖假卡可能被买家看穿而退货，拉低好评；平台跑路时上架的货和未放款的货款都没了。匿名币兑换（Web3 交易页，要黑市声望）：Ponero 是隐私币，兑入时这部分价值的污点被清除；兑入、兑出各收 6% 手续费，每天有额度；从 Ponero 兑出的币来路不明，出金审查会加重。 预测市场（Web3 预测页，游戏第 8 天起）：每个盘口是一道是非题，只问游戏自己掷骰或排期的事：新闻事件出现、派系行动开始、明天的水纯度、PSC 价格。盘口开放到窗口开始前，窗口最后一天夜里结算；买「是」「否」用链上钱包的 CRC（合约调用，要在钱包上签名，持仓记在签名的钱包名下），价格就是市场认为的概率，买得越多越贵，押中每份兑付 1 信用点，买卖各收 2%。每个盘口有持仓上限。押中的钱继承押注资金的污点比例。传闻纸条、派系特权让你提前知道某件事会发生，在这类盘口押「是」算内幕单；内幕持仓太大，结算时有一半概率被查，只退本金，收益的一半记诈骗罪证。窗口里缺了游戏数据（例如那几天没睡觉结算），盘口作废退回本金。 价格会对消息作出反应：每晚盘口向当时公开信息下的合理概率靠拢一半，再加一点随机波动；所以先从报纸、传闻纸条、派系特权看到消息的人可以抢在前面买，涨价后卖出，不用等到结算。盘口面板的线索栏列出和这个盘口有关的已知信息：排期、冷却、减半日、gas 近几天的数值、CRA 补贴池水位、矿机时代预告。可以推演的规律：派系行动由隐藏的势力值按阈值触发（例如镇压要安保 ≥ 20 且黑市 ≥ 40，镇压后安保 −20）；gas 七天一个周期；减半前一周价格锚逐日抬高；排期好的镇压和停电会压低或抬高锚，但盘口价格不会预先反映；补贴池消耗越快（质押越多）CRA 越早预警；PSC 价格盘的价格能被你自己的大单推动。情报贩子（黑市声望够了才有）卖局势简报（五个势力值和各派系现在能发起的行动，CRT）和三档内幕消息（只针对已经定下来的派系行动、矿机时代盘口，准确率约 60 / 80 / 95%，价格按盘口规模，一成是假情报，说的与真相相反）；买了内幕消息再押同一边算内幕单。盘口规模随天数增长，押错本金全亏，别把钱都压在一个盘口上。 操纵检出：你在 Poinbase 现货上的大单会把价格推离没有你时的水平（推价幅度每晚随价格回归衰减，预测盘线索里能看到）。推价幅度超过 2% 后，如果你从价格里赚到钱——行情盘押中而且方向和你推价的方向一致，或者永续平仓盈利而且方向一致——有概率被查：幅度越大越容易（5% 约 4 成，10% 约 7 成，封顶 95%）。被查则预测盘的本金和收益全部没收、永续盈利没收，收益的一半记诈骗罪证，永续账户冻结 3 天，报纸报道调查。先空后砸不是稳赚：永续单边滑点和现货来回的价差往往比空头赚到的还多。 高息理财（Web3 理财页，游戏第 15 天起，一个存档只能开一次）：定一个日息（2%–10%），付宣传费开张，下层的人按日息和下层声望往池子里存 CRC，日息越高存得越快。每晚先用新存入的钱付利息，不够从 Poinbase 账户补，补不上就挤兑崩盘；池子每晚被取走 3%，池子越大、日息越高越容易被举报，被举报同样崩盘。崩盘时池子被没收。随时可以卷走池子（点两次确认）：池子进 Poinbase 账户，污点全额（要洗了才好出金）。卷走和崩盘都记诈骗罪证，下层声望清零。风声一栏提示被举报的风险高低。" +item.web3guide.desc,"银行：存入把信用点换成 Poinbase 账户里的 CRC；提取把 CRC 换回信用点，要过合规审查，审查看 Poinbase 账户的污点。交易：买入按计价币的数量支付，卖出按所交易币的数量卖出。混币器：选币种、填数量和轮数，每轮扣手续费并降低污点，轮数即等待天数，到期提回同一个地址；存入越多，清洗越差。硬件钱包：链上的币放在 PLEDGER 硬件钱包里，每个钱包的余额和污点各算各的；在终端的钱包页打开、连接。Web3 页的交易、黑市、混币器用已连接的钱包，用币付款的顾客和挖矿收益也进它。付款（黑市、混币器、Ponero 兑换处、上架费）先在终端开账单，再在钱包里手输收款地址、按住 ✓ 签名；地址末尾两位是校验位，输错一位多半会被拦下，偶尔碰巧合法，币就转进了没人用的地址。DEX 兑换也要在钱包上签名。Poinbase 是托管账户，可以直接提到已连接的钱包；从钱包充值要转到 Poinbase 的充值地址，只收 CRC 和 PSC。更多硬件钱包向杰克逊博士购买，拖到交易终端上添加，最多 5 个；黑市上也有更便宜的。不要的钱包可以在钱包页销毁，要先把币转走。转账要付手续费，分慢、普通、快三档，gas 价格大约一周一个起落；网络拥堵时手续费变贵，慢档可能被挤出内存池。转账前核对完整地址。质押：把 CRA 质押进革命军质押池每天有日息，利息并入本金；取出要先申请，等四天才到账，等待期间没有利息，也不能提前拿。质押池靠补贴池付息，补贴池见底会降息，有时还会传出大户撤出的消息，那是预兆：一旦崩盘，三天内 CRA 就一文不值，四天的解锁期来不及。平衡代币 SPARK 可以和 CRA 按价格互相铸销（收手续费），价格波动很大，崩盘时会跟着暴跌。质押、铸销都是合约调用，要在钱包上签名。RatDigg 矿机（M1 / M2 / M3）是独立的机器，算力比显卡大得多、耗电更省，要放电池才挖，可以放模块，不占矿架槽位；只在黑市的矿机商那里有，要黑市声望（M1 40、M2 60、M3 80），偶尔有二手的。暴毙后要往修理槽里放电子元件按顺序修好，修好健康少 20。第 50 到 90 天之间会有一次"矿机时代"，提前几天上报纸预告，之后大矿场的耗电成本砍半，全网算力涨上去，显卡矿工的收益被摊薄，低档显卡几乎不赚钱，矿机还行。永续合约：Poinbase 的"永续"页，用账户里的 CRC 当保证金，PSC 最高 5 倍、SPARK 最高 3 倍，一个品种只有一个仓位，不能同时多空。成交价比现价差一截（单越大差得越多，和现货池一样），开平仓还收手续费。强平只在夜里按当天均价检查，权益不到名义价值的 10% 就被强平，保证金没了；每晚还有资金费，价格比近 7 天均价高时多头付给空头。强平后亏光保证金还不够的缺口，先由保险基金垫，基金见底（SPARK 崩盘这类大行情会抽干它）后盈利的仓位会被自动减仓、少拿一半盈利，再不够就记成你的欠款：欠款每天涨 2%，账户里的 CRC 每晚先拿去还，没还清不能开仓、不能出金，七天不还就没收店里的物品抵债，抵不够的核销并拉黑永续账户 30 天。黑市：只收币，不收 CRC，价格比正常渠道贵 30%，高科技物品和显卡另有加价；付出去的币带着按比例的污点留在卖家那边，货不带赃物标签；显卡不保证真假，自己鉴定。订单比现货便宜，要等几天，路上可能被截获；商家按类型卖货，价格系数各不相同，一次订 5 件以上 95 折、10 件以上 9 折，大宗商家随机出现，价格最低但要等六天；托管多付 5% 托管费，收货后放款，卖家跑路时退款；提前放款再打九折，卖家若是骗子钱就没了，只有成交 30 单以上的卖家接受；平台自己也可能跑路，也可能被执法接管，或者卖家落网，之后你的订单会被追查、记罪证；论坛上的传闻可以当预兆。被截获的包裹有时会变成执法人员上门：签收当场记罪证并查封，拒签只损失货款。出售：在黑市的卖货页把储藏区里的违禁品、高科技物品和显卡上架，标价是参考价的 0.6 到 1.8 倍。倍率越高成交越慢（0.9 以下约一天，1.0 约两天，1.8 约十四天），货款带污点的可能性和比例也越高，近 7 天出售的量越大，污点越重；同时最多上架 10 件，上架收 5% 上架费，上架后可以改价（收 2% 改价费，标价按参考价重算，成交的快慢跟着新倍率走），成交扣 8% 抽成，货款托管 3 天后进钱包；卖假卡可能被买家看穿而退货，拉低好评；平台跑路时上架的货和未放款的货款都没了。匿名币兑换（Web3 交易页，要黑市声望）：Ponero 是隐私币，兑入时这部分价值的污点被清除；兑入、兑出各收 6% 手续费，每天有额度；从 Ponero 兑出的币来路不明，出金审查会加重。 预测市场（Web3 预测页，游戏第 8 天起）：每个盘口是一道是非题，只问游戏自己掷骰或排期的事：新闻事件出现、派系行动开始、明天的水纯度、PSC 价格。盘口开放到窗口开始前，窗口最后一天夜里结算；买「是」「否」用链上钱包的 CRC（合约调用，要在钱包上签名，持仓记在签名的钱包名下），价格就是市场认为的概率，买得越多越贵，押中每份兑付 1 信用点，买卖各收 2%。每个盘口有持仓上限。押中的钱继承押注资金的污点比例。传闻纸条、派系特权让你提前知道某件事会发生，在这类盘口押「是」算内幕单；内幕持仓太大，结算时有一半概率被查，只退本金，收益的一半记诈骗罪证。窗口里缺了游戏数据（例如那几天没睡觉结算），盘口作废退回本金。 价格会对消息作出反应：每晚盘口向当时公开信息下的合理概率靠拢一半，再加一点随机波动；所以先从报纸、传闻纸条、派系特权看到消息的人可以抢在前面买，涨价后卖出，不用等到结算。盘口面板的线索栏列出和这个盘口有关的已知信息：排期、冷却、减半日、gas 近几天的数值、CRA 补贴池水位、矿机时代预告。可以推演的规律：派系行动由隐藏的势力值按阈值触发（例如镇压要安保 ≥ 20 且黑市 ≥ 40，镇压后安保 −20）；gas 七天一个周期；减半前一周价格锚逐日抬高；排期好的镇压和停电会压低或抬高锚，但盘口价格不会预先反映；补贴池消耗越快（质押越多）CRA 越早预警；PSC 价格盘的价格能被你自己的大单推动。情报贩子（黑市声望够了才有）卖局势简报（五个势力值和各派系现在能发起的行动，CRT）和三档内幕消息（只针对已经定下来的派系行动、矿机时代盘口，准确率约 60 / 80 / 95%，价格按盘口规模，一成是假情报，说的与真相相反）；买了内幕消息再押同一边算内幕单。盘口规模随天数增长，押错本金全亏，别把钱都压在一个盘口上。 操纵检出：你在 Poinbase 现货上的大单会把价格推离没有你时的水平（推价幅度每晚随价格回归衰减，预测盘线索里能看到）。推价幅度超过 2% 后，如果你从价格里赚到钱——行情盘押中而且方向和你推价的方向一致，或者永续平仓盈利而且方向一致——有概率被查：幅度越大越容易（5% 约 4 成，10% 约 7 成，封顶 95%）。被查则预测盘的本金和收益全部没收、永续盈利没收，收益的一半记诈骗罪证，永续账户冻结 3 天，报纸报道调查。先空后砸不是稳赚：永续单边滑点和现货来回的价差往往比空头赚到的还多。 高息理财（Web3 理财页，游戏第 15 天起，一个存档只能开一次）：定一个日息（2%–10%），付宣传费开张（开张、卷走都是合约调用，要在钱包上签名），下层的人按日息和下层声望往池子里存 CRC，日息越高存得越快。每晚先用新存入的钱付利息，不够从发行钱包补，补不上就挤兑崩盘；池子每晚被取走 3%，池子越大、日息越高越容易被举报，被举报同样崩盘。崩盘时池子被没收。随时可以卷走池子（点两次确认）：池子进发行钱包，污点全额（要洗了才好出金）。卷走和崩盘都记诈骗罪证，下层声望清零。风声一栏提示被举报的风险高低。" courier.odd1,……东西到了。 courier.odd2,"（他的手一直放在口袋里）在这儿签个字。" courier.sign,签收 @@ -630,7 +630,7 @@ news.manip.desc,监管部门通报，有人用大额现货单推动价格，从 perp.manip,平仓盈利 {0} 被判操纵价格，已没收，永续账户冻结 {1} 天。 web3.sub.ponzi,理财 ponzi.h,高息理财 -ponzi.acct,Poinbase CRC：{0} +ponzi.acct,发行钱包 {0}：CRC {1} ponzi.rate,日息 {0}% ponzi.pool,池子 {0} / 上限 {1} ponzi.inflow,昨晚新存入 {0} @@ -640,20 +640,24 @@ ponzi.wind,风声：{0} ponzi.wind.low,平静 ponzi.wind.mid,有人在议论 ponzi.wind.high,监管盯上了 -ponzi.idle,还没有理财产品。选一个日息，付宣传费开张。 +ponzi.idle,还没有理财产品。选一个日息，付宣传费开张（开张、卷走都是合约调用，要在钱包上签名）。 ponzi.done,理财产品已关闭，每个存档只能开一次。 ponzi.ops,操作 ponzi.rug,卷走池子（{0}） ponzi.rug.confirm,再点一次确认卷走 {0} ponzi.rugged,卷走 {0}，污点全额。 ponzi.open,开一个理财产品 -ponzi.ad,宣传费 {0} CRC，用 Poinbase 账户的钱。 +ponzi.ad,宣传费 {0} CRC，从当前钱包出，要签名。 ponzi.start,开张 ponzi.started,开张了。 -ponzi.err,Poinbase 里的 CRC 不够宣传费。 +ponzi.err,钱包里的 CRC 不够宣传费。 nightlog.ponzi.collapse,理财付不出利息，挤兑，池子 {0} 被没收，记诈骗罪证，下层声望清零。 nightlog.ponzi.reported,理财被举报，池子 {0} 被没收，记诈骗罪证，下层声望清零。 news.ponzi.title,高息理财爆雷 news.ponzi.desc,下层有人发行的高息理财被举报，投资人围堵，资金已被监管冻结。 news.ponzi.rug.title,理财骗局 news.ponzi.rug.desc,一款高息理财的发行人卷走了全部资金，下层的投资人血本无归。 +ponzi.start.sum,开高息理财，日息 {0}%，宣传费 {1} CRC +ponzi.rug.sum,卷走理财池 {0} +ponzi.err.wallet,要用发行钱包签名。 +predict.clue.counter,情报：已排期（柜台线人、传闻纸条） diff --git a/src/Decentralized/Night.cs b/src/Decentralized/Night.cs index 9d8994b..cf96159 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/Night.cs +++ b/src/Decentralized/Night.cs @@ -232,7 +232,7 @@ namespace Decentralized var predictEvents = PredictGame.Available(day) || d.Predict.Markets.Count > 0 ? d.Predict.Night(day, PredictGame.ActiveIds(), m => PredictGame.Outcome(m, d), d.WalletAt, d.Rng, PredictGame.ClosePush) : new List(); d.Predict.Drift(day, m => PredictGame.PublicProb(m, d, day), d.Rng); - var ponzi = d.Ponzi.Night(day, StoreReputation.GetStoreReputation(StoreReputation.FACTION_LOWER_LEVEL)?.GetReputation() ?? 0, d.Poinbase, d.Rng); + var ponzi = d.Ponzi.Night(day, StoreReputation.GetStoreReputation(StoreReputation.FACTION_LOWER_LEVEL)?.GetReputation() ?? 0, d.Own(d.Ponzi.Wallet ?? "") ?? d.Hot, d.Rng); if (ponzi != null) { ps.secData.CommitCrime("FRAUD", (int)Tuning.PonziCrime); diff --git a/src/Decentralized/PredictGame.cs b/src/Decentralized/PredictGame.cs index 175baf4..1b1b214 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/PredictGame.cs +++ b/src/Decentralized/PredictGame.cs @@ -46,12 +46,12 @@ namespace Decentralized return c == 0 ? 0.50 : c == 1 ? 0.35 : c == 2 ? 0.25 : 0; } - private static double EventProb(StoreEventManager mgr, string id, int days) + private static double EventProb(StoreEventManager mgr, string id, int days, bool ignoreCooldown = false) { - var pool = StoreEventManager.normalEventBlueprints.Where(e => !mgr.IsEventOnCooldown(e.identifier)).ToList(); + var pool = StoreEventManager.normalEventBlueprints.Where(e => ignoreCooldown || !mgr.IsEventOnCooldown(e.identifier)).ToList(); var bp = pool.Find(e => e.identifier == id); if (bp == null) return 0; - return PredictMath.EventProb(DayChance(mgr), bp.odd, pool.Sum(e => (double)e.odd), days); + return PredictMath.EventProb(ignoreCooldown ? 0.35 : DayChance(mgr), bp.odd, pool.Sum(e => (double)e.odd), days); } /// 已经排进日程的事件 / 派系行动在窗口里的开始日（known = 只看玩家已知的）。 @@ -133,10 +133,39 @@ namespace Decentralized public static void Morning(SaveData d, int day) { if (!Available(day)) return; + ForceKnown(d, day); var made = d.Predict.Refill(day, d.Rng, Candidates(day)); foreach (var m in made) Log.Info($"预测盘口 #{m.Id}：{m.Kind} {m.Key} {m.Title} 阈值 {m.Param} 窗口 {m.FromDay}-{m.ToDay} 先验 {m.P0:0.000}"); } + /// + /// 柜台线人（游戏里卖消息的顾客）、传闻纸条和派系特权会把事件排进日程且标为已知：每个这样的事件保证有一个盘口（窗口 = 开始那天）， + /// 开盘价按公开信息下的基础概率，不因为已经排期而抬高——知道的人能赚到价格追上来之前的差。开始日是明天的来不及，不开。 + /// + private static void ForceKnown(SaveData d, int day) + { + var mgr = StoreStation.Instance?.storeEventManager; + if (mgr == null) return; + var bk = d.Predict; + for (int i = 0; i < mgr.futurEvents.Count; i++) + { + var e = mgr.futurEvents[i]; + int start = day + mgr.futurEventsDay[i]; + if (!e.IsKnown || start < day + 2 || e.eventType == StoreEvent.EventType.COSMETIC) continue; + bool op = e.isFactionOperation; + var kind = op ? PredictKind.Faction : PredictKind.Event; + string key = op ? e.sourceFaction : e.identifier; + if (!op && !StoreEventManager.normalEventBlueprints.Any(b => b.identifier == key)) continue; + if (bk.Markets.Any(m => m.Outcome < 0 && m.Kind == kind && m.Key == key && m.FromDay <= start && m.ToDay >= start)) continue; + if (bk.Markets.Count(m => m.Outcome < 0) >= Tuning.PredictOpenMax + 2) break; + double p = op ? PredictMath.FactionProb(1) : EventProb(mgr, key, 1, true); + string title = op ? L.T("predict.faction." + key) : e.GetDisplayName(); + var m2 = PredictMarket.Create(++bk.Seq, kind, key, title, 0, day, start, start, p); + bk.Markets.Add(m2); + Log.Info($"线人情报开盘 #{m2.Id}：{kind} {key} 第 {start} 天，先验 {p:0.000}"); + } + } + // ——— 公开信息下的合理概率（盘口夜里向它靠拢） ——— /// diff --git a/src/Decentralized/TerminalWindow.cs b/src/Decentralized/TerminalWindow.cs index 8693549..f9cf79e 100644 --- a/src/Decentralized/TerminalWindow.cs +++ b/src/Decentralized/TerminalWindow.cs @@ -355,7 +355,7 @@ namespace Decentralized private static int LowerRep() => StoreReputation.GetStoreReputation(StoreReputation.FACTION_LOWER_LEVEL)?.GetReputation() ?? 0; - /// 理财页：开一个高息理财产品，下层的人往里存钱；池子随时可以卷走，但每晚都有被举报的风险。用 Poinbase 账户的 CRC，不用签名。 + /// 理财页：开一个高息理财产品，下层的人往里存钱；池子随时可以卷走，但每晚都有被举报的风险。开张和卷走是链上合约调用，用当前钱包，要签名；之后每晚垫付的利息从发行人钱包出。 private static void PonziPage(CustomUIBuilder b) { var d = Session.Data; @@ -364,7 +364,8 @@ namespace Decentralized Columns(b, l => { l.AddHeader(L.T("ponzi.h")); - l.AddLabel(L.T("ponzi.acct", Fmt.Num(d.Poinbase.Avail(Assets.CRC)))); + var issuer = pz.Open ? d.Own(pz.Wallet) ?? d.Hot : d.Hot; + l.AddLabel(L.T("ponzi.acct", WalletWindow.NameOf(issuer), Fmt.Num(issuer.Avail(Assets.CRC)))); l.AddSeparator(); if (pz.Open) { @@ -386,14 +387,26 @@ namespace Decentralized { if (!_ponziConfirm) { _ponziConfirm = true; Open(); return; } _ponziConfirm = false; - double take = pz.Rug(d.Poinbase); - PlayerStore.Instance.secData.CommitCrime("FRAUD", (int)Tuning.PonziCrime); - StoreReputation.GetStoreReputation(StoreReputation.FACTION_LOWER_LEVEL)?.SetReputation(0); - News.Show("pd_news_ponzi_rug_" + day, L.T("news.ponzi.rug.title"), L.T("news.ponzi.rug.desc"), 4); - Log.Info($"卷走理财池 {take:0}，自己垫的利息 {pz.OwnPaid:0}"); - _message = L.T("ponzi.rugged", Fmt.Num(take)); - Session.Save(); + var iw = d.Own(pz.Wallet) ?? d.Hot; + _message = L.T("hw.wait"); Open(); + WalletWindow.OpenForBill(new WalletWindow.Bill + { + Contract = true, Asset = Assets.CRC, Amount = 0, Spend = 0, FeeAsset = BestFeeAsset(iw), + Summary = L.T("ponzi.rug.sum", Fmt.Num(pz.Pool)), + Execute = pw => + { + if (!pz.Open || !ChainAddress.Same(pw.Address, pz.Wallet)) { _message = L.T("ponzi.err.wallet"); Open(); return; } + double take = pz.Rug(pw); + PlayerStore.Instance.secData.CommitCrime("FRAUD", (int)Tuning.PonziCrime); + StoreReputation.GetStoreReputation(StoreReputation.FACTION_LOWER_LEVEL)?.SetReputation(0); + News.Show("pd_news_ponzi_rug_" + day, L.T("news.ponzi.rug.title"), L.T("news.ponzi.rug.desc"), 4); + Log.Info($"卷走理财池 {take:0}，自己垫的利息 {pz.OwnPaid:0}，钱包 {pw.Address}"); + _message = L.T("ponzi.rugged", Fmt.Num(take)); + Session.Save(); + Open(); + }, + }); }); return; } @@ -410,9 +423,21 @@ namespace Decentralized r.AddLabel(L.T("ponzi.ad", Fmt.Num(Tuning.PonziAdCost))); r.AddButton(L.T("ponzi.start"), () => { - _message = pz.Start(d.Poinbase, _ponziRate, day) ? L.T("ponzi.started") : L.T("ponzi.err"); - Session.Save(); + if (d.Hot.Avail(Assets.CRC) + 1e-9 < Tuning.PonziAdCost) { _message = L.T("ponzi.err"); Open(); return; } + double rate = _ponziRate; + _message = L.T("hw.wait"); Open(); + WalletWindow.OpenForBill(new WalletWindow.Bill + { + Contract = true, Asset = Assets.CRC, Amount = Tuning.PonziAdCost, + Summary = L.T("ponzi.start.sum", (rate * 100).ToString("0", CultureInfo.InvariantCulture), Fmt.Num(Tuning.PonziAdCost)), + Execute = pw => + { + _message = pz.Start(pw, rate, StoreStation.GetDayCounter()) ? L.T("ponzi.started") : L.T("ponzi.err"); + Session.Save(); + Open(); + }, + }); }); }); }